Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.397578 0.431802 0.468860 0.512186 0.561733 0.616962 0.683662
2025-01-19 0.324578 0.371961 0.427669 0.499044 0.589642 0.703095 0.859821
2025-01-26 0.288870 0.345089 0.415655 0.513274 0.649234 0.839474 1.141623
2025-02-02 0.269618 0.333491 0.418279 0.543905 0.734903 1.033830 1.587667
2025-02-09 0.246760 0.312930 0.404431 0.547241 0.780019 1.180455 2.035611
2025-02-16 0.224678 0.290174 0.383528 0.535123 0.796200 1.282051 2.461312
2025-02-23 0.209388 0.275013 0.371227 0.533490 0.828501 1.423885 3.091233
2025-03-02 0.194478 0.258754 0.355080 0.522475 0.840569 1.528468 3.727026
2025-03-09 0.181631 0.244332 0.340080 0.510874 0.848494 1.626966 4.467519
2025-03-16 0.170755 0.231960 0.327008 0.500633 0.856680 1.729996 5.389330
2025-03-23 0.165507 0.227765 0.326644 0.513192 0.915804 1.996290 7.658413
2025-03-30 0.157481 0.218569 0.317041 0.506886 0.931279 2.146348 9.778006
2025-04-06 0.147118 0.205353 0.300169 0.485685 0.910636 2.184974 11.414865
2025-04-13 0.137523 0.192950 0.284013 0.464602 0.887703 2.213534 13.339589
2025-04-20 0.133510 0.189376 0.282954 0.474020 0.944552 2.576253 22.931489
2025-04-27 0.132109 0.189971 0.289291 0.499852 1.054033 3.275732 64.510259
2025-05-04 0.127628 0.185058 0.285125 0.502295 1.098841 3.742175 177.594195
2025-05-11 0.121859 0.177594 0.275605 0.491440 1.100628 3.986126 492.111117
2025-05-18 0.117690 0.172645 0.270440 0.489935 1.132211 4.470236 30358.486362
2025-05-25 0.112890 0.166333 0.262206 0.480198 1.134240 4.770538 NaN
2025-06-01 0.108383 0.160313 0.254137 0.469948 1.132249 5.054844 NaN
2025-06-08 0.104322 0.154890 0.246883 0.460892 1.132560 5.378217 NaN
2025-06-15 0.102670 0.153645 0.247743 0.471991 1.210972 6.641600 NaN